Guardians vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 19 (2024)

Updated May. 19, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Chris Paddack will be on the mound for the Minnesota Twins when they take on Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET. The Guardians have been listed as -114 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Twins (-105). Minnesota is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for this matchup (with -103 odds to hit the over and -118 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Twins vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians game on May 16, 2024.

Guardians vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, May 19, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: BSN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -114 -105 7.5 -103 -118 -1.5 -194 +160

Guardians vs. Twins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Twins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 55%, Twins 45%

Guardians vs. Twins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Guardians have been favored 27 times and won 18, or 66.7%, of those games.
  • Cleveland has a record of 16-8 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -114 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
  • The Twins have won in six, or 35.3%, of the 17 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Minnesota has been victorious five times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 51.2% chance of pulling out a win.
▲ 3 MLBN MIN 1 · CLE 2 MLB RUN LINETO WINTOTAL Minnesota Twins MIN Cleveland Guardians CLE

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians have a 4-2 record from the six games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
  • The Guardians' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 12
ERA 2.69
K/9 7.7

Guardians Player Insights

  • The Guardians RBI leader this season is Ramirez, who has knocked in 41 runs while hitting .258 with 11 home runs.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Ramirez ranks seventh in home runs and first in RBI.
  • Ramirez carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .450 with a double, two home runs, three walks and eight RBI.
  • Josh Naylor's 12 home runs are a team-high mark.
  • Naylor ranks fourth in homers and ninth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Andres Gimenez has eight doubles, a triple, two home runs and nine walks while hitting .276.
  • Gimenez will look to build on his six-game hitting in this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .300 with a double, a home run, two walks and seven RBI.
  • Tyler Freeman is hitting .221 with seven doubles, four home runs and 13 walks.
  • Freeman takes a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .471 with two doubles, four walks and three RBI.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
José Ramírez 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+135)
Andrés Giménez 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+220)
Josh Naylor 1.5 (+205) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+130)
Tyler Freeman 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+245)
Will Brennan 0.5 (-286) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+180)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Twins have a record of 1-3.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Twins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.0
HR 11
ERA 4.55
K/9 8.1

Twins Player Insights

  • Ryan Jeffers leads the Twins in home runs (10), runs batted in (30) and has a team-high batting average of .274.
  • In all of the big leagues, Jeffers ranks 12th in homers and 14th in RBI.
  • Willi Castro is hitting .260 with 10 doubles, three triples, three home runs and 11 walks.
  • Castro is currently 163rd in home runs and 164th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Carlos Santana has five doubles, seven home runs and 11 walks while hitting .204.
  • Max Kepler has 10 doubles, three home runs and eight walks while hitting .305.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Carlos Correa 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+170)
Willi Castro 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+215)
Trevor Larnach 0.5 (-189) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+220)
Max Kepler 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+160)
Carlos Santana 0.5 (-154) 0.5 (-154) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+200)

Twins vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians game on May 16, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians - 05/19/2024
Guardians vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 19 (2024)
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